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TAG Heuer Carrera

Reference CBG2A1Z.BA0658
Sell — Rising trend — good time to sell
C Investment Grade C · 45/100
$7,418
As of: 11.07.2026
RRP (list price): $4,801
+55 % above RRP
1 month
+0.0%
4 months
+23.7%
Volatility
127,0 %
Momentum score
100/100
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📱 Track this reference's market value on the go with the watch value app — daily median, price alerts and a watchlist.

ℹ️ 1-month trend

Price change over the past 30 days. Shows the short-term market movement — relevant if you want to buy or sell soon.

ℹ️ 4-month trend

The central metric behind the momentum score. It filters out short-term swings and shows the true, medium-term market trend of this reference.

ℹ️ Volatility

Annualised price fluctuation. Below 10 % = very stable, 10–20 % = normal, above 20 % = volatile. With high volatility the price can change quickly — in both directions. Be cautious about buying without checking the current price.

ℹ️ Momentum score

ChronoCheck's own indicator from 0 to 100, calculated from the 4-month trend, volatility and market direction.

  • Above 60 — Upward trend. Good time to sell, prices are rising.
  • 40 – 60 — Neutral. Stable price level, no pressure to act.
  • Below 40 — Downward trend. Wait or enter at a good price.
ℹ️ Investment Grade A/B/C/D

ChronoCheck's own rating for each reference. A 0–100 point scale, made up of four weighted components:

  • Momentum (40 pts) — trend strength from the momentum score.
  • Liquidity (25 pts) — number of active live listings.
  • Stability (20 pts) — inverse volatility — the calmer, the better.
  • Source robustness (15 pts) — number of independent market sources.
  • A · 75+ Trend is right, liquidity good, data broad.
  • B · 55–74 Solid, but one component weaker.
  • C · 35–54 Average, volatility or market breadth weigh on it.
  • D · below 35 Downward or too little data — a collector's piece.

Not investment advice. Pure data analysis from aggregated market sources.

What if you had bought back then …

What would a purchase at the median market price back then have become — at today's level of $7,418. A pure return calculation, excluding insurance, servicing and transaction costs.

1 Jahr
on 17.05.2025
Purchase price $5,502
Today $7,418
↑ +34,8 %
+$1,916
p.a. +29,6 %
2 Jahre
on 11.07.2024
Purchase price $5,643
Today $7,418
↑ +31,5 %
+$1,775
p.a. +14,7 %
3 Jahre
on 08.11.2023
Purchase price $3,992
Today $7,418
↑ +85,8 %
+$3,426
p.a. +26,1 %

Data from an aggregated median time series (watch_market_daily). CAGR = Compound Annual Growth Rate, normalized to 365 days. Not an investment recommendation.

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Technical data

Model family
Carrera
Case material
Steel
Diameter
45 mm
Water resistance
100 m
Production period
since 2015
Movement / caliber
Heuer 02
Winding type
Automatic
Lift angle
52°
Functions
Heuer 02 GMT Hours, Minutes, Small Seconds, Additional 24 Hour Hand (adjustable) | Date | Chronograph, Column wheel

Lift angle 52° — important for timing-machine diagnosis: with this value a watchmaker can correctly measure rate deviation, amplitude and beat error. ChronoCheck verifies such technical details directly from the manufacturers' factory specifications.

Brand profile: TAG Heuer

TAG Heuer is the most counterfeited 'affordable luxury watch.' Carrera and Monaco are faked en masse. Counterfeits are rampant across the mid-price segment.

Key authenticity features
  • Lume consistency: genuine TAG Heuer luminous indices glow evenly and brightly — patchy, faint, or unevenly colored lume = fake
  • Caseback serial number: 4–6-digit serial number with deeply and evenly engraved characters — shallow engraving, inconsistent character thickness, or missing serial number = fake
  • Bezel click (Aquaracer): a specific number of clicks with defined resistance — wrong click count or loose rotation = fake
  • Carrera sub-dial spacing: equal margins to the outer stick indices and to each other — fakes: sub-dials too close to the outer indices or positioned asymmetrically

Serial number format: TAG Heuer serial numbers: alphanumeric on the caseback. Begins with the model reference.

Further sources

Official manufacturer site
TAG Heuer →
Collector discussions
Reddit r/Watches →
Magazine reviews
Hodinkee →

Buying guide: TAG Heuer Carrera

Entry into TAG Heuer

At $7,418 this reference is one of the more affordable ways to wear a TAG Heuer on your wrist. That is precisely why many pieces have already passed through several hands — condition varies accordingly. Buyers here should pay particular attention to service history and honest photos from the seller.

Where the price stands

The price of the Carrera has risen by +23.7% over the past four months. Anyone selling now hits a good window. If you want to buy: no need to wait — the market is currently more hot than cold, and a clear end to the trend is not in sight.

Watch out for swings: This reference has an above-average volatility of 127.0 percent. In concrete terms: the price can move by several hundred euros within a few weeks. Check the current value before buying or selling — old listings or auction results from two months ago are of little help.

What to look out for when buying?

  • Authenticity: The serial number and reference on the case must match the papers. A professional authenticity check of the TAG Heuer Carrera reliably rules out counterfeits.
  • Condition: Check scratches on the case and bezel — professional refurbishment can leave traces.
  • Service history: A documented service by the manufacturer or a certified watchmaker increases the value.
  • Scope of delivery: Box, papers and warranty card make a noticeable price difference on the Carrera.
  • Independent certification: The CPS-52 standard covers 52 checkpoints — from the serial number and the timing machine to water resistance. The result is secured on the blockchain and can be verified at any time.

Check the market value live now

Interactive price analysis with momentum indicator and buy/sell signal.

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Frequently asked questions about the TAG Heuer Carrera

What is the current market value of the TAG Heuer Carrera (Ref. CBG2A1Z.BA0658)?
The current market value of the TAG Heuer Carrera Ref. CBG2A1Z.BA0658 is $7,418 (as of 11.07.2026). We aggregate asking prices from several independent live market sources — authorised dealers, CPO dealers, pre-owned marketplaces and auction results. The actual sale price can vary by 10–15 % up or down depending on condition, completeness and service history.
How has the price of the TAG Heuer Ref. CBG2A1Z.BA0658 developed over the past 4 months?
The 4-month trend is upward (+23.7 %). Over the past month the change was +0.0 %. The momentum score (0-100) currently stands at 100. Volatility is above average at 127.0 % — the price can move noticeably in the short term.
Is now a good time to buy or sell the TAG Heuer Carrera?
The market trend shows rising prices — a good time to sell for owners. This assessment is based on the market trends of the past 4 months and is not investment advice. Before any transaction we recommend checking the current market price up to date — for example with our free market value tool.
What should I look out for when buying a TAG Heuer Carrera?
The key things to check when buying a TAG Heuer Carrera are: 1) that the serial number and reference match the papers, 2) the condition of the case and bezel (scratches, signs of polishing), 3) completeness of box and warranty card (a 10–15 % price premium for a full set), 4) a documented service history, 5) an independent authenticity check — advisable from a purchase price of 5,000 EUR.
How do I tell whether a TAG Heuer Carrera is genuine?
With a TAG Heuer, counterfeits can usually be spotted from several details: the weight and material quality of the case, the precise execution of the bezel and dial, correctly engraved serial numbers at the prescribed depth, and the behaviour of the movement. A forensic authenticity check to the CPS-52 standard examines 52 individual points and is the most reliable method — especially for purchases over 10,000 EUR.
Where can I sell a TAG Heuer Carrera Ref. CBG2A1Z.BA0658?
There are several channels for selling a TAG Heuer Carrera: 1) specialist online dealers (Chrono24, Watchfinder, Wempe, Chronext) — fast, but with a 10–20 % margin deduction, 2) auction houses (Phillips, Christie's, Sotheby's) — higher proceeds possible, takes 3–6 months, 3) private sale (classifieds, WatchUSeek) — highest proceeds, but more effort and fraud risk. In our experience a ChronoCheck valuation report raises the achieved sale price by 5–10 %.

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