Rolex Submariner (No Date)
Reference 5512
Wait — Falling trend — price under pressure
D
Investment Grade D · 5/100
$14,344
As of: 09.10.2026
RRP (list price): $695
+1965 % above RRP
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ℹ️ 1-month trend
Price change over the past 30 days. Shows the short-term market movement — relevant if you want to buy or sell soon.
ℹ️ 4-month trend
The central metric behind the momentum score. It filters out short-term swings and shows the true, medium-term market trend of this reference.
ℹ️ Volatility
Annualised price fluctuation. Below 10 % = very stable, 10–20 % = normal, above 20 % = volatile. With high volatility the price can change quickly — in both directions. Be cautious about buying without checking the current price.
ℹ️ Momentum score
ChronoCheck's own indicator from 0 to 100, calculated from the 4-month trend, volatility and market direction.
- Above 60 — Upward trend. Good time to sell, prices are rising.
- 40 – 60 — Neutral. Stable price level, no pressure to act.
- Below 40 — Downward trend. Wait or enter at a good price.
ℹ️ Investment Grade A/B/C/D
ChronoCheck's own rating for each reference. A 0–100 point scale, made up of four weighted components:
- Momentum (40 pts) — trend strength from the momentum score.
- Liquidity (25 pts) — number of active live listings.
- Stability (20 pts) — inverse volatility — the calmer, the better.
- Source robustness (15 pts) — number of independent market sources.
- A · 75+ Trend is right, liquidity good, data broad.
- B · 55–74 Solid, but one component weaker.
- C · 35–54 Average, volatility or market breadth weigh on it.
- D · below 35 Downward or too little data — a collector's piece.
Not investment advice. Pure data analysis from aggregated market sources.
The current market value of the Rolex Submariner (No Date) (Ref. 5512) is $14,344. The trend points down (-40.6% over four months). Last sold at auction: $12,700 (Loupe This, 10/2026).
What if you had bought back then …
What would a purchase at the median market price back then have become — at today's level of $14,344. A pure return calculation, excluding insurance, servicing and transaction costs.
6 Monate
on 03.05.2026
Purchase price
$42,233
Today
$14,344
↓ -66,0 %
$27,889
p.a. -91,6 %
1 Jahr
on 16.07.2025
Purchase price
$3,337
Today
$14,344
↑ +329,8 %
+$11,007
p.a. +226,3 %
2 Jahre
on 23.01.2025
Purchase price
$35,321
Today
$14,344
↓ -59,4 %
$20,978
p.a. -41,0 %
Data from an aggregated median time series (watch_market_daily). CAGR = Compound Annual Growth Rate, normalized to 365 days. Not an investment recommendation.
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Technical data
Model family
Submariner (No Date)
Production period
1959 – 1979
Movement / caliber
Cal. 1530 (früh) / Cal. 1560 (Chronometer) / Cal. 1570 (Chronometer, Hauptkaliber)
Lift angle 42° — important for timing-machine diagnosis:
with this value a watchmaker can correctly measure rate deviation, amplitude and beat error.
ChronoCheck verifies such technical details directly from the manufacturers' factory specifications.
## 1959: The First Submariner with Crown Guards
The Rolex Ref. 5512 is the mother of all modern Submariners — and that is meant quite literally. When Rolex introduced the reference in 1959, it was the very first Submariner to feature crown guards. Early examples came fitted with angular Square Crown Guards (SCG): fewer than 100 of these SCG watches are known to survive today, and fewer than 30 of the Eagle Beak transition pieces that bridge the gap between the SCG and the later rounded guards. Anyone who holds one of these early transitional examples in original condition holds one of the rarest chapters in all of Submariner history.
## Why the Four-Liner Means More Than Just Four Lines of Text
From 1961, the 5512 received COSC chronometer certification and gained the four-line SCOC dial — the defining distinction from its sister reference, the 5513, which never carried chronometer certification. The movement evolved from caliber 1530 through 1560 to the Cal. 1570, beating at 19,800 vibrations per hour and gaining hacking seconds from 1972 onward. Fifteen documented collector variants — from the Ghost Bezel to the Maxi Dial — reveal just how much developmental history is packed into this single reference.
## From Gilt Dial to Maxi Dial: 20 Years of Production
Gilt dials were produced through approximately 1967, followed by matte versions with gradual transitional overlap across those years. In 1977, Maxi Dials arrived with their enlarged lume plots across three generations — the Mk3 Maxi is considered the rarest 5512 variant of all. Alongside this, sometime between 1967 and 1969 the depth rating switched from Meters First to Feet First, a move aimed squarely at the US market. Production ended in 1979 at serial number 5,700,000+, with the Ref. 14060 taking over as the chronometer-certified no-date Submariner.
Brand profile: Rolex
Rolex is the most counterfeited watch brand in the world. Super-clones (VSF, ARF, Clean — the latter inactive since a 07/2025 raid, only old stock remains) reach 95%+ similarity. Authenticity is almost always only identifiable through micro-details and caliber behavior.
Key authenticity features
- Case back: ALWAYS solid and closed — any viewing window means definitely fake (exception: vintage Ref. 6085 only)
- Minute hand length: genuine Rolex minute hands end EXACTLY at the minute chapter ring. 1 mm too long = fake. The strongest VSF tell.
- Seconds hand: smooth sweep without any hesitation — the slightest tick-tock means fake
- Cyclops lens (on Date models): must magnify exactly 2.5×, the date should nearly fill the entire window
Serial number format: Since 2010, a random alphanumeric combination (e.g. 'G3M9K721'). 2000-2010: a letter plus 6-7 digits. Serial number engraved on the rehaut at 6 o'clock (from ~2005 on). Older models: between the lug holes at 6 o'clock on the case.
Buying guide: Rolex Submariner (No Date)
Market situation and price range
At $14,344 the Submariner (No Date) sits in a segment where first owners sell regularly — clean pieces with box and papers are not uncommon. The jump from "good" to "very good" usually costs 1,000 to 2,000 euros more at purchase. You get that premium back on resale if the condition is preserved.
Where the price stands
The price has fallen by -40.6% over the past four months. No crash, but a clear downward trend. Buyers currently have room to negotiate; sellers are better off waiting for the market to bottom out — unless they have to sell.
Watch out for swings: This reference has an above-average volatility of 245.8 percent. In concrete terms: the price can move by several hundred euros within a few weeks. Check the current value before buying or selling — old listings or auction results from two months ago are of little help.
What to look out for when buying?
- Authenticity: The serial number and reference on the case must match the papers. A professional authenticity check of the Rolex Submariner (No Date) reliably rules out counterfeits.
- Condition: Check scratches on the case and bezel — professional refurbishment can leave traces.
- Service history: A documented service by the manufacturer or a certified watchmaker increases the value.
- Scope of delivery: Box, papers and warranty card make a noticeable price difference on the Submariner (No Date).
- Independent certification: The CPS-52 standard covers 52 checkpoints — from the serial number and the timing machine to water resistance. The result is secured on the blockchain and can be verified at any time.
Auction results Rolex Submariner (No Date) 5512
Recent hammer prices for this reference from international auction houses:
| Price | House | Date |
|---|
| $12,700 | Loupe This | 10/2026 |
| $22,375 | Loupe This | 09/2026 |
| $15,119 | Loupe This | 08/2026 |
| $90,513 | Christie's | 05/2026 |
| $10,401 | Loupe This | 01/2026 |
Frequently asked questions about the Rolex Submariner (No Date)
What is the current market value of the Rolex Submariner (No Date) (Ref. 5512)?
The current market value of the Rolex Submariner (No Date) Ref. 5512 is $14,344 (as of 09.10.2026). We aggregate asking prices from several independent live market sources — authorised dealers, CPO dealers, pre-owned marketplaces and auction results. The actual sale price can vary by 10–15 % up or down depending on condition, completeness and service history.
How has the price of the Rolex Ref. 5512 developed over the past 4 months?
The 4-month trend is downward (-40.6 %). Over the past month the change was -58.5 %. The momentum score (0-100) currently stands at 0. Volatility is above average at 245.8 % — the price can move noticeably in the short term.
Is now a good time to buy or sell the Rolex Submariner (No Date)?
The market trend shows falling prices — a buying opportunity for collectors; sellers should wait. This assessment is based on the market trends of the past 4 months and is not investment advice. Before any transaction we recommend checking the current market price up to date — for example with our free market value tool.
What should I look out for when buying a Rolex Submariner (No Date)?
The key things to check when buying a Rolex Submariner (No Date) are: 1) that the serial number and reference match the papers, 2) the condition of the case and bezel (scratches, signs of polishing), 3) completeness of box and warranty card (a 10–15 % price premium for a full set), 4) a documented service history, 5) an independent authenticity check — advisable from a purchase price of 5,000 EUR.
How do I tell whether a Rolex Submariner (No Date) is genuine?
With a Rolex, counterfeits can usually be spotted from several details: the weight and material quality of the case, the precise execution of the bezel and dial, correctly engraved serial numbers at the prescribed depth, and the behaviour of the movement. A forensic authenticity check to the CPS-52 standard examines 52 individual points and is the most reliable method — especially for purchases over 10,000 EUR.
Where can I sell a Rolex Submariner (No Date) Ref. 5512?
There are several channels for selling a Rolex Submariner (No Date): 1) specialist online dealers (Chrono24, Watchfinder, Wempe, Chronext) — fast, but with a 10–20 % margin deduction, 2) auction houses (Phillips, Christie's, Sotheby's) — higher proceeds possible, takes 3–6 months, 3) private sale (classifieds, WatchUSeek) — highest proceeds, but more effort and fraud risk. In our experience a ChronoCheck valuation report raises the achieved sale price by 5–10 %.